Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

brosiss

Well-Known Member
Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying' - Yahoo! Singapore Finance


Singapore's central bank expressed concern Tuesday at the growing mountain of household debt and surging property prices, saying they posed "significant risks" to the country's financial system.

While the city-state's banking system remains sound, the build-up in household debt was "worrying", said Ravi Menon, managing director of the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS).

He said a growing number of households have overborrowed in the property market, largely due to low interest rates and stretched loan tenures.

"The combination of low interest rates, growing leverage and surging property prices poses significant risks to financial stability," Menon said at a news conference.

Global credit rating agency Moody's last week downgraded its outlook on Singapore's main banks from "stable" to negative", citing rapid loan growth and rising real estate prices.

Moody's said these "have increased the probability of deterioration in the banks' credit profiles under potential adverse conditions in the future".

Menon said an estimated five to 10 percent of borrowers in Singapore "have probably over-leveraged on their property purchases, that is, they have total debt service payments at more than 60 percent of their income".

Lower-income households and those with lesser savings could be strained if mortgage rates rise.

"When interest rates rise, long before any bank gets into trouble, some households will," he said.

"Banks must therefore practise responsible lending, and consider the ability of borrowers to service their debt in a sustainable manner," he added.

Housing loans by banks rose 18 percent each year over the past three years, he said.

Home loans as a percentage of gross domestic product currently stand at 46 percent, up from 35 percent three years ago, he added.

Menon said the central bank was closely watching the situation.

Singapore's three homegrown lenders undertake regular stress tests coordinated by the central bank, and are "well capitalised with prudent provisions against loss", Menon said.

Separately, Menon said Singapore will "comfortably meet" its economic growth forecast of 1.0-3.0 percent this year as demand from the eurozone and the United States pick up.

"The advanced economies are in a better shape this year. The tail risks have receded and there is less likelihood of a eurozone break-up or fiscal cliff in the United States," he said.
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

This news below negates the one above.

So many 'lich' people in sg, how can rents and property prices not go up? How can leverage business not increase? How many times have people warn about property bubbles and debt issues in Sg? MAS only affirm this fact NOW? No wonder they are regulators.. always 1,3,5 steps behind market trends.

Daily Dispatches
 
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Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

DrK;1015982 said:
This news below negates the one above.

So many 'lich' people in sg, how can rents and property prices not go up? How can leverage business not increase? How many times have people warn about property bubbles and debt issues in Sg? MAS only affirm this fact NOW? No wonder they are regulators.. always 1,3,5 steps behind market trends.

Daily Dispatches

Singapore small land size and increase population, if property prices come down, all rich ppl cheong here.
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

Menon said an estimated five to 10 percent of borrowers in Singapore "have probably over-leveraged on their property purchases..."

And we're tweaking the rules to mollycoddle a minority? Doesn't make sense.
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

Good. I repeated the whole article to dunno-which-cold-call agency selling me credit cards and personal loans.
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

I m waiting for these overleveraged individuals to chap 11 and then firesale their orchard rd properties, then I will overleverage myself to get it and then infinite loop
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

every other day got banks wanna give me personal loan....

newbie question.... if take personal loan, buy car mods / rims... then default on payment. the bank seize your rims and force sell... can buy back the rims at cheaper price?? sart ki or not?

car guru... jonleeck pls advise....
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

Will garmen remove cooling measures when the bubble burst?
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

brosiss;1016025 said:
Will garmen remove cooling measures when the bubble burst?

Depends on how it bursts. Slowly deflate or the lao sai kind of burst.
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

once CM is removed, showroom opens till midnite and long queue kitty/minion
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

buy property, die.
don't buy also die.
than how ?
breathe also must die
don't breathe die faster.
than how ?
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

Darth Vader;1016043 said:
buy property, die.
don't buy also die.
than how ?
breathe also must die
don't breathe die faster.
than how ?

you comprain for huat? Oredi got house, got car - that's better than a lot of peepur liao. Be happy, be contented. Zen.
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

to buy or not to buy, that is a million dollar question.
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

you have more houses and cars than me leh......
of course you don't need to complain leh.........

wobbles;1016069 said:
you comprain for huat? Oredi got house, got car - that's better than a lot of peepur liao. Be happy, be contented. Zen.
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

wt_know;1016037 said:
once CM is removed, showroom opens till midnite and long queue kitty/minion

the reason y CM is removed is coz global crash recession etc etc, that time pple losing jobs n $$ n stock values n all other assets crash, u thk they so brave or got spare cash to buy prop? most likely freeze up just like early 2009. D smart $ will start selling into strength along d way, to prepare 2 buy in such situations.

Look at the # of caveats lodged in 4Q08-1Q09.
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

the smart one always make hell a lot of money during crisis ...


golfgti;1016109 said:
the reason y CM is removed is coz global crash recession etc etc, that time pple losing jobs n $$ n stock values n all other assets crash, u thk they so brave or got spare cash to buy prop? most likely freeze up just like early 2009. D smart $ will start selling into strength along d way, to prepare 2 buy in such situations.

Look at the # of caveats lodged in 4Q08-1Q09.
 
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Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

There are a lot of "smarts" out there ... no one size fits all. He who can make fcuk-loads of money during a crisis is smart, and so is the guy who can avoid having to fire-sale his properties during the same crisis, although the latter may not end up with a bloated bank account. My philosophy is to wear the hat that fits.

Less chance of suffering a "die until very difficult to see" fate.
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

DrK;1016035 said:
Depends on how it bursts. Slowly deflate or the lao sai kind of burst.

If USA economy picks up, fundamentally market will not crash, but buyers will reduce because of higher interest. And those over credit and looking to selling their investment properties will kena because their monthly installment killing them.

But if buyer lesser, then rental yields should be good.
 
Re: Singapore central bank says rising household debt 'worrying'

brosiss;1016145 said:
If USA economy picks up, fundamentally market will not crash, but buyers will reduce because of higher interest. And those over credit and looking to selling their investment properties will kena because their monthly installment killing them.

But if buyer lesser, then rental yields should be good.

here r 2 telling charts.

SIBOR: SIBOR (3-mth) Rate Historical Trend Chart - Singapore

Rental yield: https://www.squarefoot.com.sg/market-watch/rental-yield

Back in Jan 2007, SIBOR was 3.4% n rental yields were 4.4% overall. Now SIBOR is 0.31% & rental yield is 3.5%....

As & when SIBOR goes back to 3.4%, the only way yields can remain at 3.5% & prop price doesnt correct is that rents go up alot more. Taking into consideration the FT labour squeeze & record physical prop supply next few yrs, its hard to b bullish on rents and prices both continuing up...

If rents go down & SIBOR goes back 3+%, thats a bearish combo as prices likely have to correct...
 
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