Re: MAS Imposes Financing Restrictions on Motor Vehicle Loans
Shev;960285 said:
U really think garmen so nice to throw away all that revenue from Coe and only increase ARF which consumers will still take back partially ultimately? Not forgetting the quantity of Coe had been fixed for years down the road.
It's a mere paradigm shift from car enthusiasts buying cars to people who can really afford cars buying cars.
Coe will dive in a knee jerk reaction as everyone will adopt a wait and see attitude including the car dealers. Car dealers also dare not bid Coe for keeps but will probably bid when a car is officially sold.
But there will be a threshold when the people who can afford will come out and start buying. If garmen can take such drastic measures, they would have "calculated" the impact and we will soon be surprised by how many rich people there are in Sg.
Call me shallow, but I really think so. The world is not as complicated as it seems. As long as there is no leverage, prices of things would be so much cheaper.
Imagine if you had to pay full cash for a house. Will we still have $800K HDBs?
The government is set to reduce the price of COE -- not to the 2008 levels, but to maybe 2010-2011 levels, around S$30-60K. For once, I think this measure is positive.
I'm sure they saw the high number of to-be-scrapped cars coming in 2015/2016. When COE prices drop, this will make people rethink whether to scrap and buy new or renew COE. If I had to down 50K for a new car + take a loan, or just pay 50K to renew COE, which would I choose? It is quite smart, IMHO. I give this credit to the policy maker.
If people really end up renewing COE it has BOTH an environmentally positive effect (cars are driven longer and less wastage) and also a net gain on tax profits, i.e. they don't have to refund you the 50% ARF. Also boosts used car market so it makes people want to own used car more. With that I would like to see them tightening the regulation for used cars.
The government will make part of that additional revenue back from the increase in ARF since the cash rich can still afford to pay a lump sum cash. Those blokes buying Ferraris pay a lot of money in ARF!
Even riches like our uncle wobbles won't plonk such amounts of cold hard sweaty cash on a car. What makes you think a lot of other rich people will?
Now, let's shift our attention back to the property market...