Propertyguru: HDBs more unaffordable than private homes

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HDBs more unaffordable than private homes - Property Auctions News, Property Investment | PropertyGuru

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Housing and Development Board (HDB) resale homes in Singapore are more unaffordable than private homes, PropertyGuru can exclusively reveal. They are also classed as being ‘severely unaffordable’.

Using a globally-recognised formula where the Median Multiple (median house price divided by the annual median household income) is used to calculate housing affordability, HDB resale flats are also classed as being severely unaffordable using a scale which was most recently published in the 8th Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey.

Housing affordability is evaluated based on the quotient deduced from the given formula, where a result of 3.0 and below would imply that houses are affordable, 3.1 to 4.0 (moderately unaffordable), 4.1 to 5.0 (seriously unaffordable), and 5.1 and over (severely unaffordable).

Given that the international report centred on the mid-end market, PropertyGuru focused its attention on private apartments and condominiums within the Outside Central Region (OCR) and Rest of Central Region (RCR), as these areas are home to most of the mid- to high-end properties.

The median multiple is based on calculations using the median household income from Singstat’s Key Household Characteristics and Household Income Trends, 2011, and the median price for all types of resale HDBs, ranging from one- to five-room and executive flats, according to data from the HDB and PropertyGuru.

The median multiple for private properties is 6.03 which means they are ‘severely unaffordable’ but for HDB resale flats, the result is arguably shocking. The median multiple was found to be at a high of around 6.7, which lies within the ‘severely unaffordable’ bracket – and even more unaffordable than private properties.

While private properties and HDB resale flats hit the ‘severely unaffordable’ mark, it has to be noted that the monthly household income for HDB dwellers is considerably lower than that of private homeowners.

Tejaswi Chunduri, Regional Analyst at PropertyGuru, offered her insights on the findings. She said: “The data is reflective of the housing affordability issues the country has been facing the past few years. In the last five years the median household income in Singapore has increased by 42 percent whereas HDB resale prices have shot up by 84 percent according to the HDB price index. Private property has risen 58 percent when we look at the private property price index.”

She added: “This is a great contradiction to HDB's role which is to offer affordable housing to the masses,” however she was quick to add that homes in Singapore are more affordable than Hong Kong which earned a rating of 12.6.

Despite the high prices, private home sales in Singapore continue to skyrocket, rising 29 percent in February from the previous month. “It is yet to be seen if the multiple rounds of cooling measures and other policies introduced by the government will prove effective in making home prices more affordable,” added Chunduri.

The HDB was contacted for an official statement but were unable to issue any comment prior to publication.
 
Re: Propertyguru: HDBs more unaffordable than private homes

Kong simi? What kind of formula is this? If severely unaffordable, how come there are no families sleeping on the streets?

I call this kind of study fundamentally flawed.
 
Re: Propertyguru: HDBs more unaffordable than private homes

most take loans like 30 yrs, work their asses off until they get old to own the place they stay......thats the normal working class family for ya
 
Re: Propertyguru: HDBs more unaffordable than private homes

sszone;779237 said:
most take loans like 30 yrs, work their asses off until they get old to own the place they stay......thats the normal working class family for ya

in most cases ( yes )...........just got to budget budget to make both ends meet.......but at times when the ends is about to meet..........it can become longer........













* you see me good, i see you good type..........
cheers
 
Re: Propertyguru: HDBs more unaffordable than private homes

Ha... HDB disagrees.

HDB responds to PropertyGuru article on public housing affordability

HDB wishes to stress that the PropertyGuru report, "HDBs more unaffordable than private homes", is misleading, as it is based on a simplistic analysis of incomplete data. We regret that PropertyGuru was not prepared to wait for HDB's response, in order to present readers with a balanced picture.

Cross-country comparison of data is often fraught with challenges, as countries differ greatly in their policies, state of development, and physical context. In housing, for example, the extent of our public housing programme (one of the largest in the world) and the use of CPF for housing (unique in the world) make us quite special. As a result, our rate of homeownership, at above 90 percent, is the highest globally.

PropertyGuru used the House-Price to Income (HPI) ratio to compare Singapore with other countries and cities. But the report missed out some important details.

First, PropertyGuru relied only on the market prices of HDB resale flats. This is not an appropriate parameter for computing the affordability of public housing, as most Singaporeans buy their new flats directly from HDB via the Build-To-Order (BTO) programme. These new flats are deliberately priced considerably lower than comparable resale flats, to ensure affordability.

Second, PropertyGuru did not factor in the substantial housing grants received by Singaporeans when they buy their homes, either directly from HDB or even through the resale market. These grants make up a significant portion of the purchase price.

The Government is committed to make HDB flats affordable to Singaporeans. We do this through a three-pronged strategy:

i. By offering a wide range of new flats, with different flat types (from 2-room to 5-room flats), in different locations (including both non-mature to mature estates), to cater to the different income groups.

ii. By pricing new HDB flats affordably, and offering various forms of housing grants to help lower income families own a home.

iii. By offering housing loans at reasonable interest rates.

With careful pricing and generous housing grants, all home buyers who make prudent choices will find new HDB flats within easy reach. Households buying new flats in 2011 used an average of 24 percent of their monthly income to pay for their housing loans. This is well below the international benchmark for housing affordability of 30-35 percent. And with CPF, the majority of the household can pay their monthly instalments entirely using their CPF contribution, with zero or minimum cash outlay:

Notes:
1. Selling prices are based on flats in non-mature estates offered in 2011.
2. The median income is based on first-timer applicants in 2011 in non-mature estates.
3. Monthly mortgage instalments computed based on 90% of the selling price, at HDB current concessionary interest rate of 2.6% over 30 years.
4. The Additional CPF Housing Grant and Special CPF Housing Grant are used to offset the 90% maximum loan where applicable, assuming that buyers have sufficient saving for the 10% downpayment.

At the same time, the rise in HDB resale and private property prices in recent years is not sustainable. That is why the Government has been intervening with both supply and demand measures, in order to correct the imbalance. The market has moderated considerably. For all newly-wed first-timers, their access to a new and affordable HDB flat is now largely assured. This year, HDB will focus on second-timers. As we assist second-timers in getting a new HDB flat, the impact will be felt in the HDB resale market. Meanwhile, URA will continue to push out land supply for new private property development, to match the demand. The affordability of housing in Singapore should further improve in the months ahead.

Regards

Housing & Development Board

Link: HDB responds to PropertyGuru article on public housing affor - Property Auctions News, Property Investment | PropertyGuru
 
Re: Propertyguru: HDBs more unaffordable than private homes

HDB Doesn’t Get It
Posted on 25/03/2012 by politicalwritings

HDB scored an own goal last week. I think they didn’t even know about it.

In its “rebuttal” last week, HDB claimed that the PropertyGuru report, “HDBs more unaffordable than private homes“, is misleading, as it is based on “a simplistic analysis of incomplete data“.

I find HDB’s own analysis also highly misleading, and shows how hyper-sensitive this Govt still is.

For one, HDB’s own analysis is based on direct flat sales in “non-mature” (ie ulu) estates and factors in “grants” and CPF contributions in an attempt to show that mortgage payments are below 30% of monthly income.

Clearly the above shows HDB flats– even direct from HDB– are unaffordable. If they were affordable, why would the Govt need to provide grants, and why would people have to pay out of their CPF savings?

HDB forgets that CPF is meant for retirement savings. If people have to draw on their CPF savings to pay for HDB flats, it means they are forgoing retirement planning to pay for housing consumption. It also means that in theory, they will not have enough for their retirement.

This is definitely “unique in the world”, as HDB proudly claims.

Yet after all these are taken into account, the monthly payment is still 24% of monthly income, ON AVERAGE? And HDB still claims its flats are AFFORDABLE?
Second, Propertyguru includes resale flats in its cross-country comparison for precisely the same reason HDB says its housing program is a success– that 80-90% of people live in HDB flats.

How then can one exclude resale flats from comparison when the bulk of property transactions by volume is HDB resale flats?

HDB should not take offence at this. If HDB believes that HDB resale prices are driven by market forces, then it’s not HDB’s fault that resale flat prices have gone crazy. It may be PMO’s fault, for allowing so many foreigners to immigrate to Singapore, driving up demand for resale flats. It may be URA’s fault, for not releasing enough land to build more property in tandem with high immigration. It may even be due to “irrational exuberance” of property speculators.

Just because a flat was built by HDB does not mean HDB is responsible for its price movements after its sale. You don’t hear Capitaland criticising Propertyguru for the high resale prices of its condos, do you?

So the fact is that
(1) New flats are unaffordable. That’s why the Govt has to give all kinds of grants, that’s why people have to forgo retirement savings to pay for their flats
(2) Resale flat prices are crazy. When a 5-room resale flat with 90 years left on its lease can command $800K or more, something is not right, although we do not claim it is solely HDB’s responsibility or HDB’s fault.

Affordable housing means people do not have to pay through the nose over 15 or 30 years. Once upon a time, HDB flats were really affordable, even blue-collar workers could pay off their mortgage within five years. For some strange reason, when HDB saw that people were making a killing in the market reselling HDB flats in the 80′s, it decided to peg the price of new flats to resale flats, less a “market subsidy”.

HDB flat price affordability has rapidly gone downhill since then.

Just because the Govt gives “grants” and allows CPF for housing loan payments does not make HDB flats affordable. Indeed, housing grants come from the Budget, which means it comes from our taxes. So in reality, we are all indirectly paying for the high cost of HDB flats.

How can you claim HDB flats are “affordable”? HDB, you just don’t get it. Well, what can one expect from an organisation whose CEO claims that smaller flats don’t lower our quality of living?

HDB Doesn’t Get It | Political Writings
 
Re: Propertyguru: HDBs more unaffordable than private homes

kenntona;781324 said:
HDB Doesn’t Get It
Posted on 25/03/2012 by politicalwritings

HDB scored an own goal last week. I think they didn’t even know about it.

In its “rebuttal” last week, HDB claimed that the PropertyGuru report, “HDBs more unaffordable than private homes“, is misleading, as it is based on “a simplistic analysis of incomplete data“.

I find HDB’s own analysis also highly misleading, and shows how hyper-sensitive this Govt still is.

For one, HDB’s own analysis is based on direct flat sales in “non-mature” (ie ulu) estates and factors in “grants” and CPF contributions in an attempt to show that mortgage payments are below 30% of monthly income.

Clearly the above shows HDB flats– even direct from HDB– are unaffordable. If they were affordable, why would the Govt need to provide grants, and why would people have to pay out of their CPF savings?

HDB forgets that CPF is meant for retirement savings. If people have to draw on their CPF savings to pay for HDB flats, it means they are forgoing retirement planning to pay for housing consumption. It also means that in theory, they will not have enough for their retirement.

This is definitely “unique in the world”, as HDB proudly claims.

Yet after all these are taken into account, the monthly payment is still 24% of monthly income, ON AVERAGE? And HDB still claims its flats are AFFORDABLE?
Second, Propertyguru includes resale flats in its cross-country comparison for precisely the same reason HDB says its housing program is a success– that 80-90% of people live in HDB flats.

How then can one exclude resale flats from comparison when the bulk of property transactions by volume is HDB resale flats?

HDB should not take offence at this. If HDB believes that HDB resale prices are driven by market forces, then it’s not HDB’s fault that resale flat prices have gone crazy. It may be PMO’s fault, for allowing so many foreigners to immigrate to Singapore, driving up demand for resale flats. It may be URA’s fault, for not releasing enough land to build more property in tandem with high immigration. It may even be due to “irrational exuberance” of property speculators.

Just because a flat was built by HDB does not mean HDB is responsible for its price movements after its sale. You don’t hear Capitaland criticising Propertyguru for the high resale prices of its condos, do you?

So the fact is that
(1) New flats are unaffordable. That’s why the Govt has to give all kinds of grants, that’s why people have to forgo retirement savings to pay for their flats
(2) Resale flat prices are crazy. When a 5-room resale flat with 90 years left on its lease can command $800K or more, something is not right, although we do not claim it is solely HDB’s responsibility or HDB’s fault.

Affordable housing means people do not have to pay through the nose over 15 or 30 years. Once upon a time, HDB flats were really affordable, even blue-collar workers could pay off their mortgage within five years. For some strange reason, when HDB saw that people were making a killing in the market reselling HDB flats in the 80′s, it decided to peg the price of new flats to resale flats, less a “market subsidy”.

HDB flat price affordability has rapidly gone downhill since then.

Just because the Govt gives “grants” and allows CPF for housing loan payments does not make HDB flats affordable. Indeed, housing grants come from the Budget, which means it comes from our taxes. So in reality, we are all indirectly paying for the high cost of HDB flats.

How can you claim HDB flats are “affordable”? HDB, you just don’t get it. Well, what can one expect from an organisation whose CEO claims that smaller flats don’t lower our quality of living?

HDB Doesn’t Get It | Political Writings

This argument of affordability is never ending...

It seems like the property market (investment or home stay ) is for the uneducated and simple minded ppl like Li Ka Shing or Ng Teng Fong..the "educated ones" and "intellectual ones" will always analyse this analyse that....end up not doing anything not taking action... missing the boat and all will congregate at the Straits Times "Complainers" forum or other social political sites too...

The funniest thing is ppl will always complain/write to newspaper etc about high property price...but u dun see ppl who made piles of $$ on property write to newspaper to thank the gov for the wonderful work they have done to the property market.....
 

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