ipoh-horfun
Well-Known Member
IPO like fever in US and hk now, Prada IPO, then now even facebook going for public offfer....
zai lor
:laughlik:
zai lor
:laughlik:
Let's talk stocks & IPO
- Thread starter ipoh-horfun
- Start date
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO
Open your eyes, close your ears and do your homework...... no easy money after 1Q11.......
Stale bulls are bullshitting about the bull market, because they are stuck.
You can trade the short-term volatility, but a longer haul buy-and-hold strategy might not work in deteriorating fundamentals AND technicals....
Open your eyes, close your ears and do your homework...... no easy money after 1Q11.......
Stale bulls are bullshitting about the bull market, because they are stuck.
You can trade the short-term volatility, but a longer haul buy-and-hold strategy might not work in deteriorating fundamentals AND technicals....
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO
Fear's up, but must grow before Wall St hits bottom
By Edward Krudy and Doris Frankel
NEW YORK/CHICAGO,_June 15 (Reuters) - Signs of rising fear in the U.S. stock market suggest a selling climax could be looming, but the rout in equities probably will get uglier before the market reaches a bottom.
The CBOE Volatility Index or VIX, Wall Street's barometer of investors' anxiety, jumped to its highest level in three months on Wednesday. That was the biggest move in the VIX in two weeks after the index largely shrugged off a 7.2 percent fall in the S&P 500 since the end of April.
In addition, sentiment among advisors and small investors has started to turn down sharply after a prolonged period of bullishness, another sign that selling could be peaking.
"Today fear is finally starting to emerge from its slumber as concerns over the European debt crisis continue to dominate the market," said Ryan Detrick, senior technical analyst at Ohio-based Schaeffer's Investment Research.
Analysts look for a sharp increase in negative sentiment as a sign that selling pressure has run its course and markets are poised to rally. During the recent drop, they have continually pointed to the subdued level of the VIX as a sign that investors may be too complacent.
The catalyst for Wednesday's sharp spike in the VIX was a fall of almost 2 percent in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, fueled by more signs of weakness in the U.S. economy and mounting concerns over Europe's debt crisis.
Worth noting: The VIX, which rose 16.8 percent to end Wednesday's session at 21.32, is still relatively low. When the stock market sold off in March, the VIX rose to over 30.
"You have to get to the point when people are thinking, 'I don't want to have anything to do with stocks' and we're not quite there yet," said Ari Wald, an equity strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York.
Wald expects the VIX to rise to at least 35.
The VIX is a 30-day risk forecast of stock market volatility conveyed by S&P 500 option prices. The VIX typically moves inversely to the benchmark S&P 500 index.
BEARS RUSH TO BUY PUTS
Many investors are focused on the S&P 500's March low for this year at around 1,250, a level that roughly coincides with the index's 200-day moving average. They believe the S&P 500 will pull back to at least that level.
Wald is looking for a retreat to 1,230 when several important factors coincide, including the 61.8 percent retracement of the 2007-2009 bear market, a closely watched Fibonacci level.
In the options market, there were signs that investors were seeking insurance against further declines.
"There has definitely been more put buying across the board as investors position for more losses or hedge their long portfolios," Detrick said.
The put-to-call ratio of total listed U.S. option volume stood at 1.14, up from its recent 22-day moving average of 0.99, according to Trade Alert data.
The latest survey from Investors Intelligence, a widely followed sentiment indicator that tracks research by investment advisors, shows that bears increased to 26 percent from 22.6 percent, narrowing the bull/bear spread -- the number of bulls over bears -- to 11 percent.
That corresponds to a separate survey by the American Association of Individual Investors that shows investors with a bearish outlook for the next six months jumped to nearly 50 percent -- up almost 14 points from the previous week.
If the drumbeat of disappointing economic data continues, then there could be a lot of room for stocks to fall further.
"It is likely going to be the case that this decline won't end until the complacency is wiped out, and panic sets in," said Larry McMillan, president of options research firm McMillan Analysis Corp, in a report. (
Fear's up, but must grow before Wall St hits bottom
By Edward Krudy and Doris Frankel
NEW YORK/CHICAGO,_June 15 (Reuters) - Signs of rising fear in the U.S. stock market suggest a selling climax could be looming, but the rout in equities probably will get uglier before the market reaches a bottom.
The CBOE Volatility Index or VIX, Wall Street's barometer of investors' anxiety, jumped to its highest level in three months on Wednesday. That was the biggest move in the VIX in two weeks after the index largely shrugged off a 7.2 percent fall in the S&P 500 since the end of April.
In addition, sentiment among advisors and small investors has started to turn down sharply after a prolonged period of bullishness, another sign that selling could be peaking.
"Today fear is finally starting to emerge from its slumber as concerns over the European debt crisis continue to dominate the market," said Ryan Detrick, senior technical analyst at Ohio-based Schaeffer's Investment Research.
Analysts look for a sharp increase in negative sentiment as a sign that selling pressure has run its course and markets are poised to rally. During the recent drop, they have continually pointed to the subdued level of the VIX as a sign that investors may be too complacent.
The catalyst for Wednesday's sharp spike in the VIX was a fall of almost 2 percent in the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, fueled by more signs of weakness in the U.S. economy and mounting concerns over Europe's debt crisis.
Worth noting: The VIX, which rose 16.8 percent to end Wednesday's session at 21.32, is still relatively low. When the stock market sold off in March, the VIX rose to over 30.
"You have to get to the point when people are thinking, 'I don't want to have anything to do with stocks' and we're not quite there yet," said Ari Wald, an equity strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York.
Wald expects the VIX to rise to at least 35.
The VIX is a 30-day risk forecast of stock market volatility conveyed by S&P 500 option prices. The VIX typically moves inversely to the benchmark S&P 500 index.
BEARS RUSH TO BUY PUTS
Many investors are focused on the S&P 500's March low for this year at around 1,250, a level that roughly coincides with the index's 200-day moving average. They believe the S&P 500 will pull back to at least that level.
Wald is looking for a retreat to 1,230 when several important factors coincide, including the 61.8 percent retracement of the 2007-2009 bear market, a closely watched Fibonacci level.
In the options market, there were signs that investors were seeking insurance against further declines.
"There has definitely been more put buying across the board as investors position for more losses or hedge their long portfolios," Detrick said.
The put-to-call ratio of total listed U.S. option volume stood at 1.14, up from its recent 22-day moving average of 0.99, according to Trade Alert data.
The latest survey from Investors Intelligence, a widely followed sentiment indicator that tracks research by investment advisors, shows that bears increased to 26 percent from 22.6 percent, narrowing the bull/bear spread -- the number of bulls over bears -- to 11 percent.
That corresponds to a separate survey by the American Association of Individual Investors that shows investors with a bearish outlook for the next six months jumped to nearly 50 percent -- up almost 14 points from the previous week.
If the drumbeat of disappointing economic data continues, then there could be a lot of room for stocks to fall further.
"It is likely going to be the case that this decline won't end until the complacency is wiped out, and panic sets in," said Larry McMillan, president of options research firm McMillan Analysis Corp, in a report. (
ipoh-horfun
Well-Known Member
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO
SG stock is gone!
I looking at USD etf for now. Whack and go kind.
SG stock so disappointing... bears are forever stronger than bull this Q.
SG stock is gone!
I looking at USD etf for now. Whack and go kind.
SG stock so disappointing... bears are forever stronger than bull this Q.
ipoh-horfun
Well-Known Member
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO
Ipoh-horfun ipo will happen after PRATA IPO successfully launch... woahahha
Ipoh-horfun ipo will happen after PRATA IPO successfully launch... woahahha
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO
Watch for SIA & SIA2...its going down(now below $14) and all other carriers after announcement by IATA and with market softening and oil price increasing drastically this Q.
Outlook Downgraded to $8.6 Billion - High Oil Price Cuts Airline Profits by Almost 50%
Watch for SIA & SIA2...its going down(now below $14) and all other carriers after announcement by IATA and with market softening and oil price increasing drastically this Q.
Outlook Downgraded to $8.6 Billion - High Oil Price Cuts Airline Profits by Almost 50%
ipoh-horfun
Well-Known Member
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO
SIA Aug give 1.20 dividend lor. i will go buy if i have money.
SIA Aug give 1.20 dividend lor. i will go buy if i have money.
ipoh-horfun
Well-Known Member
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO
genting also nice level to enter?
imaging today buy1.85, 2.00 take profit.... can change rims liao. haha
genting also nice level to enter?
imaging today buy1.85, 2.00 take profit.... can change rims liao. haha
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO
I still believe this axiom - in a downtrend, as long as there are still stale bulls calling for reversals, the market will still go down......
The market will bounce when EVERYONE gave up, including the stale bulls who are badly injured for sticking their heads out in stormy weather.....
I still believe this axiom - in a downtrend, as long as there are still stale bulls calling for reversals, the market will still go down......
The market will bounce when EVERYONE gave up, including the stale bulls who are badly injured for sticking their heads out in stormy weather.....
ipoh-horfun
Well-Known Member
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO
so u are saying we should "roll roll, roll the boat, gentlly down-stream? haha.
Genting 1.84 how to resist?
Even artivision oso cheap cheap leh...
kill the clummsy bear!! haha
so u are saying we should "roll roll, roll the boat, gentlly down-stream? haha.
Genting 1.84 how to resist?
Even artivision oso cheap cheap leh...
kill the clummsy bear!! haha
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO
Maybe this will help you see a clearer picture.
SINGAPORE, June 15 (Reuters) - Investors cut their long bets
on the Singapore dollar in June to the lowest level in a year
and trimmed positions in the Chinese yuan to a 10-month low as
they reduced exposure to riskier assets, a Reuters monthly poll
showed on Wednesday.
Currency investors also nearly halved bets on the Indonesian
rupiah and the Malaysian ringgit from the previous month, while
decreasing positions in the South Korean won by nearly
two-thirds, the survey showed.
Emerging Asian currencies firmed early in the year against
the U.S. dollar but have suffered since May as investors took
profits on intensified worries about Greek debt crisis and the
global economic slowdown.
The regional units had been a must-have item among investors
as Asia's economic growth easily eclipsed that of developed
economies and as policymakers stepped efforts to tackle
inflation.
The poll asked 11 currency strategists to estimate how the
market was positioned in eight Asian currencies against the
dollar.
The survey measures estimates of the net long or short
position in a currency on a scale of minus 3 to plus 3. A score
of plus 3 indicates the market is significantly long on dollars.
The figures include positions held through non-deliverable
forwards (NDFs).
Also from Reuters:
In the FX market there was a major move into the USD on safe haven flows,
as shorts were liquidated. The EUR led the way followed by the risk
currencies being the AUD, NZD CAD and the GBP
And this oso:
Singapore, has suffered $652 million
in outflows this month, albeit with a net $48 million flowing
back in on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Maybe this will help you see a clearer picture.
SINGAPORE, June 15 (Reuters) - Investors cut their long bets
on the Singapore dollar in June to the lowest level in a year
and trimmed positions in the Chinese yuan to a 10-month low as
they reduced exposure to riskier assets, a Reuters monthly poll
showed on Wednesday.
Currency investors also nearly halved bets on the Indonesian
rupiah and the Malaysian ringgit from the previous month, while
decreasing positions in the South Korean won by nearly
two-thirds, the survey showed.
Emerging Asian currencies firmed early in the year against
the U.S. dollar but have suffered since May as investors took
profits on intensified worries about Greek debt crisis and the
global economic slowdown.
The regional units had been a must-have item among investors
as Asia's economic growth easily eclipsed that of developed
economies and as policymakers stepped efforts to tackle
inflation.
The poll asked 11 currency strategists to estimate how the
market was positioned in eight Asian currencies against the
dollar.
The survey measures estimates of the net long or short
position in a currency on a scale of minus 3 to plus 3. A score
of plus 3 indicates the market is significantly long on dollars.
The figures include positions held through non-deliverable
forwards (NDFs).
Also from Reuters:
In the FX market there was a major move into the USD on safe haven flows,
as shorts were liquidated. The EUR led the way followed by the risk
currencies being the AUD, NZD CAD and the GBP
And this oso:
Singapore, has suffered $652 million
in outflows this month, albeit with a net $48 million flowing
back in on Tuesday and Wednesday.
