Let's talk stocks & IPO

Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

Today month end, futures fixing......
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

im watching copper technicals now. its sitting just below a long term support trendline from 2009. It must hold this level or else doctor copper is saying the world is more sick than we think.
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

golfgti said:
im watching copper technicals now. its sitting just below a long term support trendline from 2009. It must hold this level or else doctor copper is saying the world is more sick than we think.

Looks like there is a correlation factor but not sure which is leading which.....
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

kenntona;824473 said:
Looks like there is a correlation factor but not sure which is leading which.....
its known as doctor copper coz it usually leads the global industrial cycles. copper is widely used base metal thats y it leads stocks as companies stock them ahead of expansion phase, vice versa if decline phase. i look at RSI amongst other indicators
Presentation1.jpg
 
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Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

with US 10yr tbills at 1.58%, its showing that global fund mgrs r extremely risk averse. This time rd, the last bastion are stocks as they know that lots of assets r priced on stock values, so they will sell everything down before stocks as theyve learnt from 2008 that if they let stocks go, all goes, properties, businesses etc.

IMO europe is already undergoing its own QE purely via the decline of EUR vs other currencies, & mkts will continue to pummel the EUR until its cheap enough for europe to export itself out of the mess.
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

"sell in May and go away.." ..

May is done deal......Hopefully June is a better month
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

kenntona said:
Relative strengths in NOL, Yanlord, Wilmar, Cosco and YZJ. DBS is nice too. Rest are weak.

But this is a 1-2 weeks bounce at best. Shorts will cover, traders will be disillusioned, jump in and then realise that after the short haul, downtrend will continue......

Unless something positive happens in Europe.....

toiletsiao said:
"sell in May and go away.." ..

May is done deal......Hopefully June is a better month

I think this volatilty will last till June 17th......
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

After the new election in Greece on Sunday 17 June 2012, global markets will plunge on Monday 18 June 2012.
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

2 year Bunds negative yield just now....... risk off totally
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

ktnpl;825325 said:
After the new election in Greece on Sunday 17 June 2012, global markets will plunge on Monday 18 June 2012.

u saying your wish-list?

usually sell ahead of news i thot? haha
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

ipoh-horfun;825538 said:
u saying your wish-list?

usually sell ahead of news i thot? haha

The market is going to capitulate sooner or later not because of investors' wishful thinking but because of unsustainable overspending and imbalances in the world economy. It is definitely going to get very messy. Nobody knows the true ramifications yet and some are hopeful on government intervention to save the day but the fact is the governments today are running out of options. QE is not going to work like in the past and the habit of kicking of the cans down the road will finally come to an end. The music will stop and you do not want to be the last one holding on ...
 
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Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

toiletsiao;824872 said:
"sell in May and go away.." ..

May is done deal......Hopefully June is a better month

HK believe in 五穷六绝七翻身.
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

crash is obvious, how much & how long is more impt. If it crashes alot & stays down for a long time, meaning no europe LTRO type bailouts & US doesnt QE again, not just stock prices, but the last stronghold property will drop as well....

it may not b as bad as 2008, but its impt to have cash in case it does....
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

2008 bank collapse
2012 if country (ie: greece > spain > italy, etc) collapse ... how could it not as bad as 2008?

golfgti;825761 said:
crash is obvious, how much & how long is more impt. If it crashes alot & stays down for a long time, meaning no europe LTRO type bailouts & US doesnt QE again, not just stock prices, but the last stronghold property will drop as well....

it may not b as bad as 2008, but its impt to have cash in case it does....
 
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Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

wt_know;825763 said:
2008 bank collapse
2012 if country (ie: greece > spain > italy, etc) collapse ... how could it not as bad as 2008?

because, if u r a seasoned investor, never say never to any scenario, bull or bear.

from technical indicators to gut feelings, its mostly gona b a painful next 6mths, but central banks know that, & just like US QE & euro LTRO, theyll do watever it takes to prevent a crash from a greek exit of euro, but wat they cant predict is a major bank failure like lehman which will make things alot worse & kill their rescue efforts.

From italy to spain, bank runs have started already, thats y spain garmen so panic abt bank recapitalizations. If they cant do it on time & a bank defaults on payment, then a european lehman wld occur.

aside from the above, many tech indicators such as commodity currencies & commodities themselves crashing is already leading the inevitable stock crash.
 
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In current situation what will be the best strategy? 100% cash?
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

Today is June 4th

June 4th 1989 saw the Tiananmen massacre....




































Incidentally, Shanghai Composite dropped 64.89 points today. 6-4-89....... eeriely coincidental.....
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

I am on 99.89% Cash......waiting for both Share market and property market.....waited for 1 year liao...
 
Re: Let's talk stocks & IPO

ktnpl;825557 said:
The market is going to capitulate sooner or later not because of investors' wishful thinking but because of unsustainable overspending and imbalances in the world economy. It is definitely going to get very messy. Nobody knows the true ramifications yet and some are hopeful on government intervention to save the day but the fact is the governments today are running out of options. QE is not going to work like in the past and the habit of kicking of the cans down the road will finally come to an end. The music will stop and you do not want to be the last one holding on ...

Wow... again, substitute the above astute statement with PAP can-kicking (eg. import more FT, tweak COE crunch) and what do we get?
 

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